Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 4

Sep 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

RheinEnergieStadion

FC Koln
1 - 3
Hoffenheim

Selke (61')
Hubers (34'), Chabot (45+3'), Carstensen (63')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Kramaric (1'), Grillitsch (28'), Beier (52')
Skov (23'), Kaderabek (68'), Brooks (70'), Grillitsch (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 FC Koln
Sunday, September 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
FC Koln	Draw	Hoffenheim
43.1% ( -0.03)	24.74% ( -0)	32.16% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 57.61% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.6% (

0.02)

45.4% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.27% (

0.02)

67.73% (

-0.03)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.88% (

-0)

21.12% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.04% (

-0)

53.96% (

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.03% (

0.03)

26.97% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.69% (

0.04)

62.31% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

FC Koln 43.1%

Hoffenheim 32.16%

Draw 24.73%

FC Koln	Draw	Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.63% Total : 43.1%	1-1 @ 11.6% 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.73%	1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.46% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 32.16%