De Graafschap
Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs | 1st Round | 1st Leg
May 13, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stadion De Vijverberg

De Graafschap
0 - 0
Dordrecht

Coverage of the Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs 1st Round clash between De Graafschap and Dordrecht.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Helmond 1-4 De Graafschap
Friday, May 9 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Dordrecht 4-1 Volendam
Friday, May 9 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 62.65%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 17.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 1-0 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
De GraafschapDrawDordrecht
62.65%19.55%17.8%
Both teams to score 59.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.52%35.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.48%57.52%
De Graafschap Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.14%10.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.03%34.97%
Dordrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.82%33.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.21%69.79%
Score Analysis
    De Graafschap 62.65%
    Dordrecht 17.8%
    Draw 19.55%
De GraafschapDrawDordrecht
2-1 @ 9.8%
2-0 @ 8.88%
1-0 @ 8%
3-1 @ 7.25%
3-0 @ 6.57%
4-1 @ 4.02%
3-2 @ 4%
4-0 @ 3.65%
4-2 @ 2.22%
5-1 @ 1.79%
5-0 @ 1.62%
5-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 62.65%
1-1 @ 8.83%
2-2 @ 5.4%
0-0 @ 3.6%
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 19.55%
1-2 @ 4.87%
0-1 @ 3.98%
0-2 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 1.99%
1-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 17.8%

How you voted: De Graafschap vs Dordrecht

De Graafschap
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Dordrecht
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2025 7pm
Gameweek 24
Dordrecht
1-1
De Graafschap
Zandbergen (14')
Seydoux (29'), Fernando Slory (90+4')
Van de Haar (37' pen.)
Warmerdam (48'), Fortes (90+2')
Nov 1, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 13
De Graafschap
4-1
Dordrecht
Van Gilst (8', 33'), Mahi (84' pen.), Brittijn (90+3')
Seuntjens (68')
Van Vianen (30')
M'Bemba (90')
Apr 5, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 33
Dordrecht
2-1
De Graafschap
Sebaoui (8'), Suray (54')
Mbayo (32'), Segecic (84')
Seuntjens (12')
Warmerdam (69'), Brittijn (87')
Dec 4, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 15
De Graafschap
1-1
Dordrecht
Onal (49')
Warmerdam (22'), Buttner (30')
Sebaoui (18')
Bronkhorst (43'), Receveur (64'), 't Zand (86')
Mar 10, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 28
Dordrecht
0-4
De Graafschap
Korte (10'), Neghli (16'), Kaandorp (83'), Buttner (87' pen.)