Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dordrecht would win this match.