Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 68.69%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 14.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.61%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 1-2 (4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.