Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 68.51%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 13.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.