Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.12%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
MVV Maastricht	Draw	Roda JC
32.61% ( 0.16)	23.25% ( 0.01)	44.14% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 63.17% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.8% (

0.02)

38.2% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.53% (

0.02)

60.47% (

-0.02)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.77% (

0.1)

23.22% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.87% (

0.15)

57.13% (

-0.14)

Roda JC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.28% (

-0.06)

17.72% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.61% (

-0.1)

48.39% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

MVV Maastricht 32.61%

Roda JC 44.14%

Draw 23.24%

MVV Maastricht	Draw	Roda JC
2-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.08% Total : 32.61%	1-1 @ 10.39% 2-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.12% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.84% ( 0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.24%	1-2 @ 9% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.19% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.79% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.91% Total : 44.14%