Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 58.04%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.