Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 62.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 17.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 1-0 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vitesse in this match.

Result
Vitesse	Draw	Jong FC Utrecht
62.5% ( -0.02)	19.74% ( 0)	17.77% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 58.79% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.56% (

0.01)

36.44% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.42% (

0.01)

58.58% (

-0.01)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.82% (

-0)

11.18% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.32% (

-0)

35.68%

Jong FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.19% (

0.02)

33.81% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.53% (

0.02)

70.47% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Vitesse 62.5%

Jong FC Utrecht 17.77%

Draw 19.74%

Vitesse	Draw	Jong FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.19% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.63% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.94% 3-2 @ 3.9% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.63% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.72% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.59% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.65% Total : 62.5%	1-1 @ 8.98% 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.78% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.74%	1-2 @ 4.87% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.1% 0-2 @ 2.22% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( 0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 17.77%