Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.55%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vitesse in this match.

Result
Vitesse	Draw	Helmond Sport
47.1% ( -0.29)	22.36% ( -0.08)	30.53% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 65.39% (

0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.17% (

0.61)

34.83% (

-0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.2% (

0.67)

56.8% (

-0.68)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.7% (

0.12)

15.3% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.97% (

0.23)

44.03% (

-0.24)

Helmond Sport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.2% (

0.52)

22.8% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.5% (

0.76)

56.5% (

-0.77)

Score Analysis

Vitesse 47.1%

Helmond Sport 30.53%

Draw 22.36%

Vitesse	Draw	Helmond Sport
2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.17% Total : 47.1%	1-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.36%	1-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.81% 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.16% Total : 30.53%