Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 37.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.72%) and 2-0 (5.35%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.