Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 15
Nov 26, 2024 at 7pm UK
Parkstad Limburg Stadion
Vitesse

Roda JC
3 - 0
Vitesse

Sejdiu (9'), Roseler (65'), Leijten (90+3')
Seedorf (42'), Kruiver (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

van Zwam (33'), Steffen (42'), Kreekels (90+4')
van Zwam (42')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Roda JC and Vitesse.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jong Utrecht 1-3 Roda JC
Friday, November 22 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Vitesse 0-6 Cambuur
Friday, November 22 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.9%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.

Result
Roda JCDrawVitesse
49.24% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)22.25% (0.033999999999999 0.03)28.52% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 64.4% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.45% (-0.108 -0.11)35.55% (0.111 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.4% (-0.122 -0.12)57.61% (0.123 0.12)
Roda JC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.17% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)14.83% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.87% (-0.135 -0.13)43.14% (0.136 0.14)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.61% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)24.39% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.2% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)58.8% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Roda JC 49.24%
    Vitesse 28.52%
    Draw 22.25%
Roda JCDrawVitesse
2-1 @ 9.3%
1-0 @ 6.9% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.91% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.82% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.0059999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 49.24%
1-1 @ 9.74% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 3.62% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.96% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.25%
1-2 @ 6.87% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.1% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.6% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.23% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 28.52%

Head to Head
Mar 31, 2018 5.30pm
Aug 18, 2017 7pm
Roda JC
1-3
Vitesse
Pasveer (64' og.)
El Makrini (51')
Matavz (40'), Bruns (69'), Kashia (80')
Bruns (54'), Colkett (78')
May 14, 2017 1.30pm
Vitesse
3-0
Roda JC
Van Wolfswinkel (3', 80'), Baker (90')

Ajagun (49'), Werker (67'), Papazoglou (77')
Paulissen (82')
Aug 20, 2016 5.30pm
Roda JC
0-1
Vitesse

Kum (35'), Brouwers (44'), Rutjes (60')
Baker (22')
Kruiswijk (39'), Nakamba (77'), van der Werff (84')
Mar 6, 2016 1.30pm
Roda JC
1-2
Vitesse
Brown (34'), Zhang (92')
Brown (6'), Ota (86')