Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.