Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 52.92%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 24.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.