Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 38.25% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.04%) and 0-2 (5.03%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
MVV Maastricht	Draw	Vitesse
38.25% ( 0.01)	22.96% ( -0)	38.8% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 65.56% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.41% (

0.01)

35.59% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.36% (

0.01)

57.64% (

-0.01)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.84% (

0.01)

19.16% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.18% (

0.02)

50.82% (

-0.02)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.09%

18.91% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.6% (

-0)

50.4% (

Score Analysis

MVV Maastricht 38.25%

Vitesse 38.8%

Draw 22.96%

MVV Maastricht	Draw	Vitesse
2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.99% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.95% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 3.48% Total : 38.25%	1-1 @ 9.97% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.62% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.96%	1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.04% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.61% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.81% 0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.92% 2-4 @ 1.59% 0-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.56% Total : 38.8%