Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 17
Dec 2, 2024 at 7pm UK
AFAS Trainingscomplex

Jong AZ
2 - 3
MVV

Gerold (17'), Addai (83')
FT(HT: 1-3)
(12'), Mmaee (22', 29', 55')
Kleinen (24'), Zeegers (33'), Buifrahi (59')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong AZ and MVV Maastricht.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jong AZ

All competitions
Last Game: Jong PSV 2-1 Jong AZ
Monday, November 25 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Last Game: MVV 2-1 Dordrecht
Friday, November 22 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 51.69%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Jong AZDrawMVV Maastricht
51.69% (0.393 0.39)21.73% (0.056000000000001 0.06)26.58% (-0.452 -0.45)
Both teams to score 64.6% (-0.66200000000001 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.42% (-0.68299999999999 -0.68)34.57% (0.681 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.49% (-0.76900000000001 -0.77)56.51% (0.768 0.77)
Jong AZ Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.32% (-0.117 -0.12)13.68% (0.115 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.11% (-0.228 -0.23)40.89% (0.225 0.23)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.83% (-0.666 -0.67)25.16% (0.664 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.11% (-0.926 -0.93)59.88% (0.923 0.92)
Score Analysis
    Jong AZ 51.69%
    MVV Maastricht 26.58%
    Draw 21.73%
Jong AZDrawMVV Maastricht
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.07 0.07)
1-0 @ 6.85% (0.208 0.21)
2-0 @ 6.81% (0.18 0.18)
3-1 @ 6.23% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.52% (0.1 0.1)
3-2 @ 4.3% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.1% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 2.25% (0.041 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.14% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.98% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 51.69%
1-1 @ 9.45% (0.109 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.48% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-0 @ 3.44% (0.119 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.98% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.73%
1-2 @ 6.52% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-1 @ 4.75% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 26.58%

How you voted: Jong AZ vs MVV

Jong AZ
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
MVV Maastricht
12.5%
8
Head to Head
May 3, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 37
Jong AZ
2-3
MVV
Daal (8'), Berkhout (55')
Westerveld (42')
El Basri (35'), Rocha (43' pen.), Smeets (86')
Buifrahi (39'), Smeets (90+2')
Buifrahi (47')
Dec 1, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 17
MVV
4-0
Jong AZ
Kostons (3'), Smeets (23', 81'), Rocha (76')
Apr 28, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 35
MVV
1-3
Jong AZ
Rocha (82')
Barasi (67' pen.), Stam (83'), Poku (90+4')
Aug 8, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 1
Jong AZ
3-1
MVV
Dekker (4'), Meerdink (51'), Allouch (82')
Twisk (16')
Engel (15' og.)
Waem (11'), Blummel (56')
Mar 14, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 27
MVV
2-3
Jong AZ
Blummel (54'), Dzepar (66')
Griffith (11'), Meerdink (68'), Taabouni (87')
rhs 2.0


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