Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 16

Nov 22, 2024 at 7pm UK

De Geusselt

MVV
2 - 1
Dordrecht

Coomans (54'), Smeets (73')
Buifrahi (60'), Braken (64')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Osundina (6')

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Dordrecht.

Form, Standings, Stats

MVV Maastricht

All competitions

Last Game: FC Eindhoven 1-1 MVV
Sunday, November 17 at 1.30pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Dordrecht

All competitions

Last Game: Dordrecht 4-0 Helmond
Sunday, November 10 at 3.45pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6%) and 0-2 (5.24%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
MVV Maastricht	Draw	Dordrecht
36.08% ( 0.19)	22.71% ( -0.02)	41.21% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 66.31% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.48% (

0.13)

34.52% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.55% (

0.15)

56.45% (

-0.15)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.3% (

0.15)

19.7% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.29% (

0.24)

51.71% (

-0.24)

Dordrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.58% (

-0.01)

17.42% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.14% (

-0.02)

47.86% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

MVV Maastricht 36.08%

Dordrecht 41.21%

Draw 22.71%

MVV Maastricht	Draw	Dordrecht
2-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 36.08%	1-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.71%	1-2 @ 8.51% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 4.03% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.76% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 41.21%