Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 20
Dec 22, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
De Geusselt

MVV
5 - 1
Telstar

Silva Timas (22', 75'), Braken (27'), Mmaee (80'), Slegers (90+2')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Hetli (35')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Telstar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MVV 1-2 Feyenoord
Tuesday, December 17 at 8pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: Ajax 2-0 Telstar
Thursday, December 19 at 8pm in KNVB Beker

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MVV Maastricht would win this match.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawTelstar
40.18% (4.472 4.47)23.86% (-0.266 -0.27)35.96% (-4.206 -4.21)
Both teams to score 61.85% (1.033 1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.69% (1.329 1.33)40.31% (-1.33 -1.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.32% (1.356 1.36)62.68% (-1.357 -1.36)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.69% (2.815 2.82)20.31% (-2.817 -2.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.32% (4.301 4.3)52.68% (-4.3 -4.3)
Telstar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.62% (-1.5 -1.5)22.38% (1.5 1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.11% (-2.294 -2.29)55.89% (2.293 2.29)
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 40.18%
    Telstar 35.96%
    Draw 23.85%
MVV MaastrichtDrawTelstar
2-1 @ 8.65% (0.537 0.54)
1-0 @ 7.25% (0.175 0.18)
2-0 @ 5.78% (0.598 0.6)
3-1 @ 4.6% (0.637 0.64)
3-2 @ 3.44% (0.339 0.34)
3-0 @ 3.07% (0.542 0.54)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.382 0.38)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.236 0.24)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.298 0.3)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 40.18%
1-1 @ 10.84% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-2 @ 6.47% (0.121 0.12)
0-0 @ 4.55% (-0.284 -0.28)
3-3 @ 1.72% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.85%
1-2 @ 8.12% (-0.555 -0.56)
0-1 @ 6.8% (-0.76 -0.76)
0-2 @ 5.09% (-0.83 -0.83)
1-3 @ 4.05% (-0.477 -0.48)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.54% (-0.551 -0.55)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.257 -0.26)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.26 -0.26)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 35.96%

How you voted: MVV vs Telstar

MVV Maastricht
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Telstar
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 5
Telstar
4-0
MVV
Turfkruier (18', 65'), Kaandorp (56'), Eddahchouri (73')
Offerhaus (41'), Noslin (49'), El Kachati (68'), Kharchouch (90+3')

Smeets (48'), Schenk (55')
Feb 2, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 24
MVV
6-1
Telstar
Slegers (1'), Aktas (10'), Remans (43'), Koeman Jr (80' og.), Smeets (84', 88' pen.)
Coomans (67'), Remans (72')
El Kachati (76')
Seedorf (65'), Apau (87')
Oct 14, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 10
Telstar
2-1
MVV
Eddahchouri (10'), Van den Heerik (90+3')
Soares (79')
Rocha (87')
May 12, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 37
MVV
2-1
Telstar
Steuckers (12'), Van Bommel (20')
Plet (80')
Jan 24, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 18
Telstar
5-3
MVV
Giousis (20'), Smit (28', 34', 49'), Plet (87')
Steuckers (24'), Kostons (56'), Van Helden (60')