Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 51.72%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.