Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a TOP Oss win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a TOP Oss win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for TOP Oss in this match.