Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 47.66%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.