Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 21

Jan 13, 2025 at 7pm UK

AFAS Trainingscomplex

Jong AZ
2 - 1
Jong Ajax

Smit (58'), Bouziane (66')
Esajas (69')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bounida (45+4')
Alders (4'), Banel (50')

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong AZ and Jong Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jong AZ

All competitions

Last Game: Cambuur 0-2 Jong AZ
Friday, December 20 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Jong Ajax

All competitions

Last Game: Jong Ajax 3-1 Roda JC
Monday, December 23 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 56.83%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 23.48% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.94%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (5.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Jong AZ in this match.

Result
Jong AZ	Draw	Jong Ajax
56.83% ( 0.33)	19.69% ( -0.13)	23.48% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 68.84% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.34% (

0.42)

27.66% (

-0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.68% (

0.52)

48.31% (

-0.52)

Jong AZ Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.04% (

0.21)

9.96% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.06% (

0.48)

32.93% (

-0.49)

Jong Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.46% (

0.09)

23.54% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.41% (

0.14)

57.59% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Jong AZ 56.83%

Jong Ajax 23.48%

Draw 19.69%

Jong AZ	Draw	Jong Ajax
2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.04) 4-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.9% Total : 56.83%	1-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.58% Total : 19.69%	1-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 23.48%