Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 54.35%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.66%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 6-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.