Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 60.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 19.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 1-0 (7.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.