Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.54%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Helmond Sport would win this match.

Result
Helmond Sport	Draw	Vitesse
42.35% ( 0.46)	23.02% ( -0.02)	34.63% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 64.73% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.56% (

-0.02)

36.44% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.42% (

-0.02)

58.58% (

0.02)

Helmond Sport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.25% (

0.18)

17.74% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.57% (

0.32)

48.42% (

-0.32)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.69% (

-0.24)

21.3% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.75% (

-0.37)

54.24% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Helmond Sport 42.35%

Vitesse 34.63%

Draw 23.02%

Helmond Sport	Draw	Vitesse
2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.97% Total : 42.35%	1-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.78% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.02%	1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.71% Total : 34.63%