Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.54%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Helmond Sport would win this match.