Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 68.5%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 14.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 3-1 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	Vitesse
68.5% ( 0.06)	17.25% ( -0.11)	14.24% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 59.69% (

0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.53% (

0.66)

31.46% (

-0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.06% (

0.78)

52.93% (

-0.78)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.62% (

0.18)

8.38% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.84% (

0.46)

29.15% (

-0.46)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.15% (

0.5)

34.84% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.42% (

0.52)

71.57% (

-0.52)

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 68.5%

Vitesse 14.24%

Draw 17.25%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	Vitesse
2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 4.6% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.04) 6-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) 6-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.59% Total : 68.5%	1-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.26% Total : 17.25%	1-2 @ 4.02% 0-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.35% Total : 14.24%