Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 57.34%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 21.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.31%) and 1-0 (8.12%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (5.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.