Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 57.34%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 21.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.31%) and 1-0 (8.12%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (5.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.

Result
Cambuur	Draw	SBV Excelsior
57.34% ( 1.12)	21.16% ( -0.45)	21.5% ( -0.67)

Both teams to score 60.34% (

0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.58% (

1.26)

37.42% (

-1.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.35% (

1.35)

59.65% (

-1.35)

Cambuur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.08% (

0.75)

12.92% (

-0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.64% (

1.52)

39.36% (

-1.52)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.3% (

0.12)

30.7% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.04% (

0.14)

66.96% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Cambuur 57.34%

SBV Excelsior 21.5%

Draw 21.16%

Cambuur	Draw	SBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.18) 4-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.12) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.11) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.87% Total : 57.34%	1-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.16%	1-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.8% Total : 21.5%