Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cambuur in this match.