Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 52.83%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 25.19% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.