Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 59.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 18.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.96%) and 2-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Telstar win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.