Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 23

Jan 25, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

BUKO Stadion

Telstar
3 - 0
Jong Ajax

Eddahchouri (21', 40'), Noslin (49')
Offerhaus (52'), Noslin (54')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Telstar and Jong Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

Telstar

All competitions

Eerste Divisie

Last Game: VVV-Venlo 1-0 Telstar
Friday, January 17 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Jong Ajax

All competitions

Last Game: Jong Ajax 4-0 Jong PSV
Monday, January 20 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 65.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 15.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 3-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Jong Ajax win it was 1-2 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.

Result
Telstar	Draw	Jong Ajax
65.85% ( -0.28)	18.17% ( 0.1)	15.99% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 60.74% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.84% (

-0.11)

32.16% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.24% (

-0.14)

53.75% (

0.14)

Telstar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.85% (

-0.09)

9.15% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.97% (

-0.23)

31.03% (

0.23)

Jong Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.86% (

0.14)

33.14% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.26% (

0.16)

69.74% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Telstar 65.85%

Jong Ajax 15.99%

Draw 18.17%

Telstar	Draw	Jong Ajax
2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.22% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 4.08% Total : 65.85%	1-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 18.17%	1-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 15.99%