Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 33

Apr 4, 2025 at 7pm UK

Riwal Hoogwerkers Stadion

Dordrecht
3 - 0
Jong Ajax

Schuurman (19'), Haen (70'), Seydoux (90+3')
van der Sluijs (56'), Seydoux (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Verschuren (54')

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Dordrecht and Jong Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dordrecht

All competitions

Last Game: ADO Den Haag 2-1 Dordrecht
Sunday, March 30 at 3.45pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Jong Ajax

All competitions

Last Game: Jong Ajax 0-2 Volendam
Monday, March 31 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 61.26%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 19.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.1%) and 3-1 (7.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Jong Ajax win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dordrecht would win this match.

Result
Dordrecht	Draw	Jong Ajax
61.26% ( 0.46)	19.56% ( -0.03)	19.17% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 62.3% (

-0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.85% (

-0.53)

33.15% (

0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.11% (

-0.61)

54.89% (

0.61)

Dordrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.47% (

-0.04)

10.53% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.78% (

-0.09)

34.22% (

0.1)

Jong Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.63% (

-0.73)

30.37% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.44% (

-0.87)

66.56% (

0.88)

Score Analysis

Dordrecht 61.26%

Jong Ajax 19.17%

Draw 19.56%

Dordrecht	Draw	Jong Ajax
2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 4.08% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.84% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.31% Total : 61.26%	1-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.32% Total : 19.56%	1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.77% Total : 19.17%