Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 56.38%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 21.97% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dordrecht would win this match.

Result
Dordrecht	Draw	VVV-Venlo
56.38% ( -0.02)	21.65% ( 0.01)	21.97% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 59.28% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.86% (

-0.02)

39.13% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.54% (

-0.02)

61.46% (

0.02)

Dordrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.23% (

-0.01)

13.77% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.93% (

-0.03)

41.07% (

0.03)

VVV-Venlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.74% (

31.25% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.39% (

67.6% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Dordrecht 56.38%

VVV-Venlo 21.97%

Draw 21.65%

Dordrecht	Draw	VVV-Venlo
2-1 @ 9.84% 1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.46% 3-1 @ 6.5% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.59% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.22% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 3.43% Total : 56.38%	1-1 @ 9.92% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.72% 0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.65%	1-2 @ 5.77% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.01% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.91% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.22% 0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 21.97%