Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 24

Feb 3, 2025 at 7.15pm UK

AFAS Trainingscomplex

Jong AZ
3 - 0
VVV-Venlo

Kalisvaart (15'), Kevin Smits (73'), Schouten (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong AZ and VVV-Venlo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jong AZ

All competitions

Last Game: Helmond 2-1 Jong AZ
Sunday, January 26 at 3.45pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

VVV-Venlo

All competitions

Last Game: Jong PSV 1-2 VVV-Venlo
Monday, January 27 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 51.49%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.54%) and 1-0 (6.48%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong AZ would win this match.

Result
Jong AZ	Draw	VVV-Venlo
51.49% ( 0.01)	21.52% ( 0.16)	26.99% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 65.77% (

-0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.79% (

-0.93)

33.2% (

0.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.04% (

-1.07)

54.96% (

1.07)

Jong AZ Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.73% (

-0.32)

13.26% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.94% (

-0.65)

40.05% (

0.65)

VVV-Venlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.82% (

-0.6)

24.17% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.5% (

-0.85)

58.49% (

0.85)

Score Analysis

Jong AZ 51.49%

VVV-Venlo 26.99%

Draw 21.52%

Jong AZ	Draw	VVV-Venlo
2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.23% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.05) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.2% Total : 51.49%	1-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.42% Total : 21.52%	1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.73% Total : 26.99%