Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 67.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 13.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.