Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.1%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.