Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 46.52%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.44%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.