Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 24

Feb 28, 2025 at 7pm UK

Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch

Jong Utrecht
1 - 2
Jong Ajax

Akkerman (89')
Jenner (41')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Brandes (19'), Bounida (42')

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong FC Utrecht and Jong Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jong FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: FC Eindhoven 1-2 Jong Utrecht
Sunday, February 23 at 11.15am in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Jong Ajax

All competitions

Last Game: Jong Ajax 1-1 Cambuur
Monday, February 24 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Jong FC Utrecht	Draw	Jong Ajax
40.66% ( -0.17)	25.08% ( 0.18)	34.26% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 57.09% (

-0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.64% (

-0.83)

46.37% (

0.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.35% (

-0.78)

68.65% (

0.78)

Jong FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.31% (

-0.44)

22.69% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.65% (

-0.66)

56.35% (

0.66)

Jong Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.85% (

-0.4)

26.15% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.77% (

-0.54)

61.23% (

0.54)

Score Analysis

Jong FC Utrecht 40.66%

Jong Ajax 34.26%

Draw 25.08%

Jong FC Utrecht	Draw	Jong Ajax
1-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.24% Total : 40.66%	1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.08%	0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.3% Total : 34.26%