Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 37.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.5%) and 1-3 (4.84%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.