Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 52.43%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.6%) and 1-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Vitesse	Draw	Jong AZ
52.43% ( 0.18)	21.3% ( -0.09)	26.26% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 65.9% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.25% (

0.39)

32.74% (

-0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.57% (

0.45)

54.42% (

-0.45)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.18% (

0.19)

12.81% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.85% (

0.39)

39.14% (

-0.39)

Jong AZ Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.59% (

0.15)

24.41% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.16% (

0.21)

58.83% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Vitesse 52.43%

Jong AZ 26.26%

Draw 21.3%

Vitesse	Draw	Jong AZ
2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.52% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.46% Total : 52.43%	1-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.43% Total : 21.3%	1-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 26.26%