Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 30
Mar 14, 2025 at 7pm UK
De Geusselt

MVV
0 - 1
Jong AZ


Tehubyuluw (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)
van den Ban (87')
Kalisvaart (53')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Jong AZ.

Form, Standings, Stats

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Last Game: Helmond 4-0 MVV
Friday, March 7 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Jong AZ

All competitions
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 0-3 Jong AZ
Tuesday, March 11 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 47.76%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.37%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawJong AZ
47.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)22.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)30.12% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 66.03% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.11% (0.039000000000001 0.04)33.89% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.26% (0.043999999999997 0.04)55.74% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.28% (0.015000000000001 0.02)14.72% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.08% (0.027999999999999 0.03)42.92% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Jong AZ Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.43% (0.022999999999996 0.02)22.57% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.83% (0.033999999999999 0.03)56.17% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 47.76%
    Jong AZ 30.12%
    Draw 22.12%
MVV MaastrichtDrawJong AZ
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 6.37% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.1% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 4.32% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 3.9% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.78% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 2.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.87%
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 47.76%
1-1 @ 9.48% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.32% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.14% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.12%
1-2 @ 7.05%
0-1 @ 4.95% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.68% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-3 @ 3.5% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 3.35% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.83%
1-4 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.25% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 30.12%

Head to Head
Dec 2, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 17
Jong AZ
2-3
MVV
Gerold (17'), Addai (83')
Mmaee (22', 29', 55')
Kleinen (24'), Zeegers (33'), Buifrahi (59')
May 3, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 37
Jong AZ
2-3
MVV
Daal (8'), Berkhout (55')
Westerveld (42')
El Basri (35'), Rocha (43' pen.), Smeets (86')
Buifrahi (39'), Smeets (90+2')
Buifrahi (47')
Dec 1, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 17
MVV
4-0
Jong AZ
Kostons (3'), Smeets (23', 81'), Rocha (76')
Apr 28, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 35
MVV
1-3
Jong AZ
Rocha (82')
Barasi (67' pen.), Stam (83'), Poku (90+4')
Aug 8, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 1
Jong AZ
3-1
MVV
Dekker (4'), Meerdink (51'), Allouch (82')
Twisk (16')
Engel (15' og.)
Waem (11'), Blummel (56')
rhs 2.0


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