Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 29
Mar 7, 2025 at 7pm UK
SolarUnie Stadion

Helmond
4 - 0
MVV

van den Hurk (10', 23'), Amin Doudah (14'), Sits (78')
Absalem (54')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Helmond Sport and MVV Maastricht.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Volendam 3-1 Helmond
Friday, February 28 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Vitesse 1-0 MVV
Saturday, March 1 at 3.30pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Helmond Sport would win this match.

Result
Helmond SportDrawMVV Maastricht
46.12% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)24.25% (0.029 0.03)29.62% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 57.96% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.64% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)44.35% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.27% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)66.72% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Helmond Sport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.63% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)19.37% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.83% (-0.125 -0.13)51.16% (0.123 0.12)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.89% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)28.11% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.22% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)63.78% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Helmond Sport 46.12%
    MVV Maastricht 29.62%
    Draw 24.25%
Helmond SportDrawMVV Maastricht
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.94% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.34% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 5.09% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.01% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 46.12%
1-1 @ 11.34% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.44% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.25%
1-2 @ 7.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.91% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.38% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.05% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 1.86% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 29.62%

Head to Head
Oct 27, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 12
MVV
1-2
Helmond
Silva Timas (23')
Sits (81')
Pachonik (25'), Sits (78')
Dizdarevic (51'), van den Hurk (84')
Apr 5, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 33
MVV
3-0
Helmond
Tasci (23'), Rocha (71'), Remans (79' pen.)
Kleinen (70')

van Hove (56')
Dec 8, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 18
Helmond
1-2
MVV
Kaars (29')
Ostrc (67'), Marin (90+4')
Slegers (79'), Rocha (90+2')
El Basri (31')
Apr 7, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 32
Helmond
1-2
MVV
Van Keilegom (51')
Kostons (33'), Blummel (69')
Nov 4, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 14
MVV
4-0
Helmond
Van Bommel (23'), Souren (37'), Lorentzen (51' og.), Van der Meer (85' og.)
rhs 2.0


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