Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
FC Eindhoven	Draw	Vitesse
44.26% ( 1.29)	23.58% ( -0.18)	32.16% ( -1.1)

Both teams to score 61.74% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.02% (

0.48)

39.98% (

-0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.65% (

0.49)

62.35% (

-0.48)

FC Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.61% (

0.73)

18.39% (

-0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.46% (

1.23)

49.53% (

-1.22)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.65% (

-0.42)

24.34% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.26% (

-0.59)

58.74% (

0.59)

Score Analysis

FC Eindhoven 44.26%

Vitesse 32.16%

Draw 23.58%

FC Eindhoven	Draw	Vitesse
2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.6% Total : 44.26%	1-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.58%	1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 32.16%