Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 32
Mar 28, 2025 at 7pm UK
BUKO Stadion
Vitesse

Telstar
1 - 0
Vitesse

Bakker (90+4')
Noslin (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)

de Regt (40')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Telstar and Vitesse.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Telstar 3-1 Roda JC
Friday, March 14 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Vitesse 0-1 ADO Den Haag
Friday, March 14 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 56.87%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 23.97% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.91%) and 2-0 (5.56%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (5.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.

Result
TelstarDrawVitesse
56.87% (-0.239 -0.24)19.16% (0.065000000000001 0.07)23.97% (0.176 0.18)
Both teams to score 71.62% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.58% (-0.108 -0.11)24.42% (0.109 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.84% (-0.14299999999999 -0.14)44.16% (0.144 0.14)
Telstar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.05% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)8.95% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.46% (-0.21000000000001 -0.21)30.54% (0.21 0.21)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.65% (0.052000000000007 0.05)21.35% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.69% (0.081000000000003 0.08)54.31% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Telstar 56.87%
    Vitesse 23.97%
    Draw 19.16%
TelstarDrawVitesse
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.91% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.56% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 5.34% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.61% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.48% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.17% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 3.22% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.7% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.02% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.66% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.56% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.31% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 4.75%
Total : 56.87%
1-1 @ 7.12% (0.034 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.64% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.75%
0-0 @ 1.91% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 19.16%
1-2 @ 5.5% (0.035 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.42% (0.014 0.01)
0-1 @ 2.95% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.28% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.32% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.011 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 23.97%

Head to Head
Aug 9, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 1
Vitesse
2-3
Telstar
Steffen (70'), Gudelj (73')
Cornelisse (18'), de Regt (57'), Buttner (87')
Bakker (35', 81'), Eddahchouri (86')
El Kachati (43'), Koeman Jr (90+1')