Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 30
Mar 14, 2025 at 7pm UK
BUKO Stadion

Telstar
3 - 1
Roda JC

El Kachati (10', 69'), Kaandorp (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Breij (89')
Cukur (42'), Kruiver (82')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Telstar and Roda JC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Volendam 3-0 Telstar
Tuesday, March 11 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Roda JC 3-2 Helmond
Tuesday, March 11 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 56.6%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 22.65% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.49%) and 1-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.

Result
TelstarDrawRoda JC
56.6% (0.073999999999998 0.07)20.76% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)22.65% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 63.54% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.01% (0.066000000000003 0.07)33.99% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.14% (0.073999999999998 0.07)55.85% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Telstar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.97% (0.042999999999992 0.04)12.02% (-0.042 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.5% (0.088999999999999 0.09)37.49% (-0.089000000000006 -0.09)
Roda JC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.64% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)63.36% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Telstar 56.6%
    Roda JC 22.65%
    Draw 20.76%
TelstarDrawRoda JC
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.29% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.59% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.8% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.3% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.52% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
5-2 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 56.6%
1-1 @ 9.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.34% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 20.76%
1-2 @ 5.8% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.28% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 22.65%

Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 14
Roda JC
1-0
Telstar
Seedorf (17')

Rossen (44')
Mar 1, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 28
Telstar
1-1
Roda JC
El Kachati (15')
Turfkruier (87'), El Kachati (90+1')
Sejk (50')
Sep 15, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 6
Roda JC
3-0
Telstar
Ould-Chikh (9'), Schmid (65'), Van der Heide (90+5')
Pena Zauner (22'), Bijleveld (71')

Apau (22'), Kruiver (49'), Augustijns (66'), Polley (79')
Mar 10, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 28
Roda JC
1-2
Telstar
Vente (86')
Min (20'), Giousis (83' pen.)
Oct 14, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 11
Telstar
2-1
Roda JC
Min (12'), Plet (15' pen.)
Vente (90+4')