Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 64.85%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 15.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 1-2 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.