Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 31
Mar 11, 2025 at 7pm UK
Parkstad Limburg Stadion

Roda JC
3 - 2
Helmond

Koglin (17'), Razak (73'), Breij (87')
Breij (51'), Baeten (76'), Spieringhs (79'), Razak (90+2'), Razak (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-2)
van den Hurk (11' pen., 39')
van Hove (16'), Halhal (51')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Roda JC and Helmond Sport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roda JC 2-1 Jong PSV
Friday, March 7 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Helmond 4-0 MVV
Friday, March 7 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 64.85%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 15.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 1-2 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.

Result
Roda JCDrawHelmond Sport
64.85% (0.013000000000005 0.01)19.45% (0.014000000000003 0.01)15.71% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.17% (-0.102 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61% (-0.106 -0.11)39% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.68% (-0.113 -0.11)61.32% (0.119 0.12)
Roda JC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.69% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)11.32% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.03% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)35.97% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Helmond Sport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.21% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)37.8% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.43% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)74.57% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Roda JC 64.84%
    Helmond Sport 15.71%
    Draw 19.45%
Roda JCDrawHelmond Sport
2-0 @ 10.15% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 9.32% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.38% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 3.91% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.75% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.7% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 64.84%
1-1 @ 9.07% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.28% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.45%
1-2 @ 4.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.16% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 15.71%

Head to Head
Oct 21, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 10
Helmond
2-1
Roda JC
Daneels (45'), Ogenia (71')
Himbeeck (22')
Sejdiu (54')
Baeten (59')
Dec 23, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 20
Helmond
3-3
Roda JC
Botos (13', 28', 52')
Schroyen (41'), Ludwig (43'), Ostrc (77'), Schmidt (77')
Schmid (32'), Pena Zauner (51'), Ould-Chikh (90+6')
Didden (41'), Sibum (42'), Reith (64'), Koglin (72'), Bangura (77')
Aug 11, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 1
Roda JC
4-1
Helmond
Ould-Chikh (5'), Pena Zauner (20'), Saydou Bangura (86'), Daneels (89')
Spieringhs (45+2')
Kaars (50')
Amuzu (24'), Vankerkhoven (78'), Culhaci (90+2')
Feb 10, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 24
Helmond
1-0
Roda JC
Lorentzen (8')
Nov 12, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 15
Roda JC
0-1
Helmond
Kaars (56')
rhs 2.0


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