Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.66%) and 3-1 (5.17%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
FC Volendam	Draw	SBV Excelsior
42.39% ( 0.34)	22.3% ( 0.05)	35.31% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 67.72% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.39% (

-0.33)

32.61% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.72% (

-0.38)

54.27% (

0.38)

FC Volendam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.83% (

-0)

16.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.36% (

-0)

45.63% (

-0)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.79% (

-0.34)

19.21% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.1% (

-0.56)

50.9% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

FC Volendam 42.39%

SBV Excelsior 35.31%

Draw 22.3%

FC Volendam	Draw	SBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.72% Total : 42.39%	1-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.3%	1-2 @ 7.7% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.04) 3-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.57% Total : 35.31%