De Graafschap
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 29
Mar 7, 2025 at 7pm UK
Stadion De Vijverberg
Excelsior

De Graafschap
2 - 1
Excelsior

Brittijn (41'), El Kadiri (83')
Symons (51')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sanches Fernandes (14')
Omorowa (70')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between De Graafschap and SBV Excelsior.

Form, Standings, Stats

De Graafschap

All competitions
Last Game: Jong PSV 1-2 De Graafschap
Friday, February 28 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last Game: Excelsior 1-1 Roda JC
Sunday, March 2 at 3.45pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 54.76%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 23.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.5%) and 1-0 (7.38%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for De Graafschap in this match.

Result
De GraafschapDrawSBV Excelsior
54.76% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)21.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)23.85% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 62.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.38% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)35.61% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.32% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)57.67% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
De Graafschap Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.91% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)13.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.29% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)39.7% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.28% (0.0020000000000095 0)27.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)63.28% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    De Graafschap 54.76%
    SBV Excelsior 23.85%
    Draw 21.38%
De GraafschapDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.62%
2-0 @ 7.5%
1-0 @ 7.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 6.52% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.08% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 3.32% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 2.13% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-1 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 54.76%
1-1 @ 9.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 6.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.63% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.38%
1-2 @ 6.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 4.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 2.99% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.64%
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 23.85%

How you voted: De Graafschap vs Excelsior

De Graafschap
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
SBV Excelsior
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Aug 16, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 2
Excelsior
3-1
De Graafschap
Zagre (13'), Donkor (59'), Omorowa (67')
Bronkhorst (22'), Eijgenraam (84'), van Duinen (90+3')
Brittijn (90+5')
Warmerdam (64')
Jan 14, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 22
Excelsior
0-0
De Graafschap
Nieuwpoort (63'), Wieffer (71')
van de Pavert (66')
Sep 17, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 7
De Graafschap
3-1
Excelsior
Van Heertum (54'), Konings (67'), Lieftink (77')
Azarkan (57')
Mar 19, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 29
De Graafschap
1-1
Excelsior
Van Mieghem (3')
Baas (34'), Verbeek (64'), Konings (83')
Baas (22')
Wieffer (31'), Mendes Moreira (60'), Bruins (61')
Oct 5, 2020 5.45pm
Gameweek 6
Excelsior
1-2
De Graafschap
Niemeijer (18' pen.)
Oude Kotte (68'), Mendes Moreira (90+5')
Ormonde-Ottewill (24')
Hamdaoui (3'), Seuntjens (89')
Schuurman (4'), Hamdaoui (72')