Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 60.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 19.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.1%) and 1-0 (7.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for an ADO Den Haag win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.