Apr 4, 2025 7.00pm

1

2

HT : 1 0

FT De Geusselt

Sven Braken 35'
Ayman Kassimi 90'+5'
Ayman Kassimi 90'+5'

Lance Duijvestijn 86'
Mike van Duinen 90'+2'

MVV Maastricht vs SBV Excelsior - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

MVV Maastricht

All competitions

L
D
L
L
L
L

Eerste Divisie

L
D
L
L
L
L

Last game

Mar 28, 2025 7.00pm

MVV 1 - 2 Emmen

Goals scored

52

Top scorer

Sven Braken

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

W
W
W
L
D
W

Eerste Divisie

W
W
W
L
D
W

Last game

Mar 28, 2025 7.00pm

Excelsior 3 - 0 Jong Utrecht

Goals scored

74

Top scorer

Derensili Sanches Fernandes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 51.94%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.25%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for SBV Excelsior in this match.

Result

MVV Maastricht 26.12% ▲ (+1.10)

Draw 21.94% ▲ (+0.22)

SBV Excelsior 51.94% ▼ (-1.31)

Both Teams to Score:

63.35% ▲ (+0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.98% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 2.5 36.03% ▼ (-0.05)

Over 3.5 41.88% ▲ (+0.06)

Under 3.5 58.13% ▼ (-0.05)

Over 4.5 23.67% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 4.5 76.34% ▼ (-0.04)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5 73.75% ▲ (+0.84)

Under 0.5 26.25% ▼ (-0.83)

Over 1.5 38.64% ▲ (+1.10)

Under 1.5 61.36% ▼ (-1.10)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5 85.89% ▼ (-0.40)

Under 0.5 14.11% ▲ (+0.40)

Over 1.5 58.26% ▼ (-0.79)

Under 1.5 41.74% ▲ (+0.79)

Score analysis

MVV Maastricht 26.12%

Draw 21.94%

SBV Excelsior 51.94%

MVV Maastricht

2-1 @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.20)

1-0 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.11)

2-0 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.15)

3-1 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.16)

3-2 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.11)

3-0 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.10)

Other @ 4.17%

Total : 26.12%

Draw

1-1 @ 9.7% ▲ (+0.07)

2-2 @ 6.35% ▲ (+0.10)

0-0 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.01)

3-3 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.05)

Other @ 0.34%

Total : 21.94%

SBV Excelsior

1-2 @ 9.5% ▼ (-0.08)

0-1 @ 7.25% ▼ (-0.13)

0-2 @ 7.1% ▼ (-0.23)

1-3 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.15)

0-3 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.22)

2-3 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.01)

1-4 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.12)

0-4 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.15)

2-4 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.03)

1-5 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.07)

Other @ 4.57%

Total : 51.94%

Head to Head

Oct 18, 2024 7.00pm

3

2

HT : 1 2

FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Seydou Fini 35'
Noah Naujoks 69'
Serano Seymor 81'
Mike van Duinen 87'
Mike van Duinen 88'
Jerolldino Armantrading 90'+2'

Ilano Silva Timas 9'
Seb Loeffen 42' (OG)
Ozgur Aktas 81'
Edwin Hermans 90'+3'
Lars Schenk 90'+6'

Apr 15, 2022 7.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT

Mart Remans 6'
Roland Alberg 63'
Rico Zeegers 72'

Reuven Niemeijer 2'
Redouan El Yaakoubi 83'
Nikita Vlasenko 84'

Dec 10, 2021 7.00pm

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT

Thijs Dallinga 21'
Thijs Dallinga 50'

Rico Zeegers 33'
Roland Alberg 75'
Mats Wieffer 84' (OG)

Feb 20, 2021 3.30pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Djibril Dianessy 88'

Oct 16, 2020 8.00pm

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Julian Baas 52'
Elias Mar Omarsson 55'

Timo Stavitski 24'

Mar 6, 2020 7.00pm

3

0

HT : 0 0

FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Elias Mar Omarsson 64'
Rai Vloet 75'
Elias Mar Omarsson 79'

Marnick Vermijl 37'
Luc Mares 42'

Form Data

MVV 1 - 2 Emmen

De Graafschap 0 - 0 MVV

MVV 0 - 1 Jong AZ

Helmond 4 - 0 MVV

Vitesse 1 - 0 MVV

MVV 1 - 4 ADO Den Haag

Excelsior 3 - 0 Jong Utrecht

FC Eindhoven 1 - 2 Excelsior

Excelsior 3 - 1 Den Bosch

De Graafschap 2 - 1 Excelsior

Excelsior 1 - 1 Roda JC

Telstar 1 - 3 Excelsior