De Graafschap
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 31
Mar 22, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion De Vijverberg

De Graafschap
0 - 0
MVV


Marcal (59')
FT

Coomans (33'), Kleinen (55'), Esajas (65'), Schenk (66')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between De Graafschap and MVV Maastricht.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oss 0-2 De Graafschap
Sunday, March 16 at 11.15am in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: MVV 0-1 Jong AZ
Friday, March 14 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 69.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 13.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 3-0 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.72%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
De GraafschapDrawMVV Maastricht
69.66% (0.413 0.41)17.08% (-0.184 -0.18)13.26% (-0.228 -0.23)
Both teams to score 57.4% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.97% (0.352 0.35)33.03% (-0.349 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.24% (0.403 0.4)54.75% (-0.401 -0.4)
De Graafschap Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.47% (0.181 0.18)8.53% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.47% (0.44199999999999 0.44)29.52% (-0.44 -0.44)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.76% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)37.24% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.97% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)74.02% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    De Graafschap 69.66%
    MVV Maastricht 13.26%
    Draw 17.08%
De GraafschapDrawMVV Maastricht
2-0 @ 9.62% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.9% (0.055 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.82% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-1 @ 7.8% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 4.86% (0.075 0.08)
4-1 @ 4.8% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.39% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 2.37% (0.025 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.36% (0.051 0.05)
5-2 @ 1.17% (0.023 0.02)
6-0 @ 0.98% (0.032 0.03)
6-1 @ 0.97% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 69.66%
1-1 @ 7.72% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.18% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 17.08%
1-2 @ 3.82% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-1 @ 3.14% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-2 @ 1.55% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.26% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 13.26%

How you voted: De Graafschap vs MVV

De Graafschap
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
MVV Maastricht
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 14
MVV
0-0
De Graafschap
Zeegers (56'), Silva Timas (90+4')
Seuntjens (58'), Fortes (66')
Apr 26, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 36
De Graafschap
3-0
MVV
Fortes (35'), Yadir (65'), Van Gilst (71')
Buttner (61')
Sep 24, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 7
MVV
1-2
De Graafschap
Tasci (27')
Warmerdam (43'), Lammers (51')
Warmerdam (71')
May 5, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 36
De Graafschap
2-1
MVV
Haen (29'), Lukassen (90')
Jan 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 19
MVV
2-2
De Graafschap
Souren (43'), Van Bommel (48')
Brittijn (24'), Fortes (90')
rhs 2.0


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